Thị trường PP, PE nội địa Trung Quốc đi lên nhờ giá tương lai tăng và tồn kho giảm

Sau khi liên tục chịu áp lực giảm giá do nhu cầu mua hàng hạn chế kể từ nửa đầu tháng 5, giá PP và PE nội địa tại Trung Quốc gần đây đã có xu hướng bình ổn hoặc tăng nhẹ nhờ giá Đại Liên tương lai tăng theo giá dầu và mức tồn kho giảm.

PP – PE – Local – China

Giá Đại Liên tương lai theo sau đà tăng giá dầu

Xu hướng tăng giá năng lượng đã kéo theo những đợt tăng giá liên tiếp trên Sàn giao dịch Hàng hóa Đại Liên, với giá PP và LLDPE tương lai tháng 9 lần lượt tăng 138 CNY/tấn (21 USD/tấn) và 195 CNY/tấn (30 USD/tấn) tính đến ngày 23 tháng 6 trong tuần này.

Một số nhà kinh doanh cho biết: “Đà tăng giá dầu thô và giá Đại Liên tương lai đã làm hồi phục tâm lý đối với PP và PE trong thời gian gần đây. Mặc dù người mua vẫn thận trọng do các mối lo dai dẳng dài về Covid ở châu Á, song nhu cầu mua hàng gần đây đã được cải thiện do đợt trái vụ sắp kết thúc. Tuy nhiên, dự báo về việc nới lỏng nguồn cung từ các nhà máy PE và PP mới ở Trung Quốc tiếp tục gây áp lực lên thị trường trong dài hạn.”

Theo các nguồn tin thị trường, tổng tồn kho polyolefin của hai nhà sản xuất lớn tại Trung Quốc đã giảm 80.000 tấn trong tuần này, xuống còn 670.000 tấn vào ngày 23 tháng 6, phản ánh mức tiêu thụ nội địa

Giá nội địa tăng nhẹ sau nhiều tuần đi xuống

Giá PE được ước tính không đổi hoặc tăng 150 CNY/tấn (28 USD/tấn), lên mức 9300-9700 CNY/tấn (1280-1341 USD/tấn chưa bao gồm VAT) LDPE film, 7850-8200 CNY/tấn (1079-1128 USD/tấn chưa bao gồm VAT) LLDPE film và 7900-8300 CNY/tấn (1090-1142 USD/tấn chưa bao gồm VAT) HDPE film, tất cả đều theo phương thức xuất kho Trung Quốc, tiền mặt đã bao gồm VAT.

Đối với PP, giá PP homo raffia và PPBC inj. được ước tính không đổi hoặc tăng 200 CNY/tấn ($ 30 USD/tấn) trong tuần này và đang lần lượt ở mức 8350-8600 CNY/tấn (1153-1187 USD/tấn chưa bao gồm VAT) và 8700-8800 CNY/tấn (1201-1215 USD/tấn chưa bao gồm VAT) theo phương thức xuất kho Trung Quốc, tiền mặt bao gồm VAT.

Olefin chịu áp lực từ nguồn cung dồi dào; nhưng giá có thể sắp chạm sàn

Trong khi đó, giá nguyên liệu thô ethylene và propylene tiếp tục bất chấp xu hướng đi lên của thị trường năng lượng.

Giá giao ngay đã kéo dài đà sụt giảm sang tuần thứ sáu do các mối lo ngại về việc nới lỏng nguồn cung và nhu cầu.

Tuy nhiên, một số nhà kinh doanh cho biết: “Nếu giá PP và PE có thể đi ngang trong vài tuần tới, thì đà giảm giá ethylene và propylene cũng có khả năng chấm dứt.”

Được viết bởi Pınar Polat – [email protected]

Nguồn: https://www.chemorbis.com/vi/

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