Tại Ai Cập, thị trường PP và PE trong nước đã nhận được sự thúc đẩy đáng kể từ quyết định của Ngân hàng Trung ương Ai Cập (CBE). Các công văn lưu hành trực tuyến cho thấy CBE đã chỉ thị các ngân hàng ngừng chấp nhận việc nhờ thu kèm chứng từ từ những người bán xuất khẩu sang Ai Cập. Bắt đầu từ tháng 3, các ngân hàng Ai Cập sẽ chỉ chấp nhận thư tín dụng cho tất cả các hoạt động nhập khẩu.
CBE thông báo miễn trừ đối với các quy tắc nhập khẩu mới
Các công ty nước ngoài và các công ty con của họ được miễn trừ khỏi các quy tắc nhập khẩu mới, được cho là nhằm giảm chi tiêu ngoại tệ và bảo vệ ngành công nghiệp trong nước. CBE cũng cho phép các ngân hàng chấp nhận hóa đơn cho hàng hóa đã được vận chuyển trước khi ban hành quyết định này.
Triển vọng tăng giá do chi phí thúc đẩy
Tác động từ quyết định của CBE đã ngay lập tức được cảm nhận trên thị trường nội địa. Các thương nhân đã bối rối trước quyết định đột ngột này, điều mà họ cho rằng sẽ dẫn đến sự gia tăng chi phí. Một số nhà phân phối nội địa đã phản ứng bằng cách tăng báo giá thêm đáng kể so với các mức giá trước đó, sử dụng các quy tắc nhập khẩu mới làm đòn bẩy trong đàm phán giá.
Thị trường nội địa của Ai Cập đã chịu áp lực cao hơn do điều kiện nguồn cung ngày càng thắt chặt hơn. Và do những người tham gia thị trường nhập khẩu lấy tín hiệu từ phức hợp dầu mỏ, hầu hết dự báo tháng 3 là giá cả tăng lên. Theo những người tham gia thị trường, các quy tắc nhập khẩu mới đã được đưa ra ngay trong một thị trường vốn đã tăng giá.
Thị trường PE nội địa tăng gần 14% trong hai tuần qua
Giá PE trong nước đã kết thúc tuần trước với mức tăng lên tới 4.500 EGP/tấn (286 USD/tấn). Một nhà chế biến cho biết: “Nguồn cung của hầu hết các loại nguyên liệu đều thiếu hụt và điều này đang hỗ trợ xu hướng tăng giá,” trong khi một nhà chế biến khác khẳng định rằng các quy định mới do CBE đưa ra đã đẩy nhanh đà tăng giá.
Các báo giá mới cho thấy xu hướng leo dốc đã kéo dài sang tuần bắt đầu vào ngày 21 tháng 2. Theo Công cụ Giá ChemOrbis, giá nội địa của LDPE film, HDPE film và LLDPE C4 film đã tăng trung bình 13-14% so với các mức giá đầu tháng 2.
PP trong nước tăng mạnh tới 5.000 EGP/tấn
Tuần trước, thị trường PP trong nước cũng đã chứng kiến đợt tăng giá tương tự do nguồn cung giảm dần và chi phí bổ sung hàng cao hơn. Báo giá PPH inj. đã tăng mạnh tới 5.000 EGP/tấn (318 USD/tấn) so với tuần trước, trong khi PPBC inj. và PPH raffia tăng khoảng 3.500-4.000 EGP/tấn (223-255 USD/tấn). Sau mức tăng bổ sung được báo cáo tính đến thời điểm hiện tại trong tuần này, mức giá trung bình hàng tuần của PPH inj. và raffia nội địa đã tăng 14% so với các mức giá đầu tháng 2.
Người mua đứng ngoài cuộc do giá cả tăng cao
Về phía người mua, phản ứng gần như im ắng. Phần lớn hoạt động bị hạn chế về mức nhu cầu cơ bản do hầu hết người mua phải vật lộn với dòng tiền và doanh số bán sản phẩm cuối cùng thấp hơn mức trung bình. Một thương nhân cho biết: “Chúng tôi không chắc những mức tăng này sẽ được chấp nhận như thế nào. Đà tăng giá gần đây chỉ đẩy người mua ra ngoài cuộc.” Mặc dù nhu cầu vẫn có vẻ không khởi sắc, song đợt leo dốc dự kiến sẽ kéo dài sang tháng 3 do cơ cấu chi phí và nguồn cung hiện tại.
Được viết bởi Esra Ersöz – [email protected]
Nguồn: https://www.chemorbis.com/vi/
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