Những mối lo ngại về nhu cầu và xu hướng giảm giá dầu tương lai khiến thị trường PP, PE Trung Quốc suy yếu

Tại Trung Quốc, giá PP và PE nhập khẩu và nội địa tiếp tục giảm trong tuần này chủ yếu do nhu cầu yếu. Giá trị năng lượng thấp hơn vì các biện pháp hạn chế COVID-19 mới ở Trung Quốc và những mối lo ngại về suy thoái kinh tế toàn cầu cũng đã gây thêm áp lực lên các thị trường vốn đã giảm giá.

Phản ánh đà trượt giá dầu thô, giá LLDPE và PP tương lai tháng 9 trên Sàn giao dịch Hàng hóa Đại Liên đã giảm 294 CNY/tấn (44 USD/tấn) và 237 CNY/tấn (35 USD/tấn) tính đến ngày 13 tháng 7. Sự sụt giảm giá cả cũng đã làm lung lay niềm tin của thị trường.

Báo giá raffia & inj. CIF giảm xuống mức thấp nhất kể từ năm 2020

Báo giá PP homo raffia và injection nhập khẩu đã giảm kể từ đầu tháng 4, với các báo giá hiện tại được ước tính đạt 1020-1050 USD/tấn CIF Trung Quốc, tiền mặt.

Chỉ số Giá ChemOrbis cho thấy giá CIF trung bình hàng tuần hiện đang chạm mức thấp nhất kể từ giữa tháng 11 năm 2020.

Một nhà kinh doanh lưu ý: “Giá PP và PE giao ngay đã tiếp tục giảm vào đầu tuần sau tin tức rằng Trung Quốc sẽ tiến hành các đợt xét nghiệm Covid-19 trên diện rộng do các đợt bùng phát mới. Điều này một lần nữa sẽ ảnh hưởng đến tâm lý mua hàng vốn đã suy yếu. Các đợt giảm giá Đại Liên tương lai gây ra bởi dầu mỏ cũng đã gây áp lực lên giá cả.”

Giá PE xuất xứ Trung Đông cũng chạm mức thấp nhất trong một năm qua

Giá PE tại Trung Quốc cũng có xu hướng tương tự như PP, đi xuống trong khoảng 3 tháng qua. Dữ liệu của ChemOrbis cũng cho thấy giá LDPE, LLDPE và HDPE film xuất xứ Trung Đông trung bình hàng tuần hiện đang chạm mức thấp nhất kể từ cuối tháng 6 – tháng 7 năm 2021.

Giá LDPE film xuất xứ Trung Đông được ước tính giảm 30-60 USD/tấn so với tuần trước, xuống mức 1270-1290 USD/tấn CIF Trung Quốc, tiền mặt trong khi giá LLDPE và HDPE film được ước tính giảm 10-30 USD/tấn, xuống mức 1070-1090 USD/tấn theo phương thức tương tự.

Áp lực nguồn cung tác động thêm đến xu hướng giảm giá tại các thị trường nội địa

Các thị trường polyolefin nội địa cũng chịu áp lực từ mức cung cao trước tình hình nhu cầu yếu vì chính sách zero-Covid của nước này.

Tổng tồn kho polyolefin của hai nhà sản xuất lớn là 755.000 tấn tính đến ngày 13 tháng 7, cao hơn so với tuần trước và cùng kỳ năm ngoái.

Báo giá PP homo raffia và injection nội địa đã giảm 100-150 CNY/tấn (15-22 USD/tấn) so với tuần trước, trong khi giá PE đã chứng kiến mức giảm hàng tuần trong khoảng 100-505 CNY/tấn (15-75 USD/tấn ) trong cùng giai đoạn.

Được viết bởi Pınar Polat – [email protected]

Nguồn: https://www.chemorbis.com/vi/

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