Các lô hàng PP, PE châu Âu cạnh tranh gây thêm áp lực tới Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ

Thị trường PP và PE nhập khẩu của Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ đã phải chịu áp lực nặng nề từ nhu cầu nhựa thấp trong vài tháng qua. Điều này là do lạm phát cao kỷ lục cùng với thanh khoản eo hẹp và các yếu tố mùa vụ không khả quan đã duy trì xu hướng giảm giá. Hơn nữa, hàng hóa châu Âu có giá cả cạnh tranh đã làm tăng thêm sức ép đối với các báo giá.

Các nhà cung cấp trong khu vực tập trung vào xuất khẩu để giảm bớt áp lực

Thị trường polyolefin giao ngay của châu Âu hầu như đã bị xói mòn kể từ tháng 5 do tỷ lệ lạm phát cao nhất trong một vài thập kỷ qua đã ảnh hưởng đến tiêu dùng. Xu hướng giảm giá đã tăng tốc trong tháng 6 vì nguồn cung nhập khẩu cải thiện và đà trượt dốc trên toàn cầu.

Trong khi đó, giá PP đã giảm mạnh hơn so với PE do nhu cầu đối với các ứng dụng PP chậm lại rõ ràng hơn so với các thị trường PE hạ nguồn. Mặc dù hợp đồng olefin tháng 6 ổn định hoặc chỉ có những thay đổi nhỏ, nhưng vòng xoáy giảm giá vẫn tiếp diễn ở các thị trường hạ nguồn.

Tình hình này đã chịu tác động thêm bởi các mức thanh toán ethylene và propylene thấp hơn đáng kể trong tháng 7. Kỳ nghỉ hè gần kề cùng với hoạt động chậm chạp liên tục và chi phí tiện ích tăng cao đã thúc đẩy các nhà sản xuất châu Âu tăng cường xuất khẩu sang nước láng giềng Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ. Những người tham gia thị trường tán thành: “Người bán có mục tiêu giảm bớt áp lực tồn kho do kỳ nghỉ hè gần kề trong khu vực.”

Lượng hàng xuất khẩu từ châu Âu đã tăng lên bất chấp mức lợi nhuận không khả quan ở Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ. Dữ liệu trung bình hàng tuần từ ChemOrbis cho thấy thị trường PP và PE giao ngay của châu Âu tiếp tục có giá cao hơn so với Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ, mặc dù chênh lệch đã được thu hẹp so với các mức cao trước đó.

CIF Turkey – Import Prices – PP Fibre – LDPE

PP, LDPE châu Âu ảnh hưởng tới những người bán thường xuyên

Áp lực từ các báo giá mạnh mẽ của châu Âu đã được cảm nhận nhiều nhất trên thị trường LDPE và PPH. Giá cả cạnh tranh đã làm gia tăng áp lực lên các nhà sản xuất Trung Đông và dẫn đến những thiệt hại đáng kể trên thị trường.

Báo giá LDPE của châu Âu cho tháng 7 đã xuất hiện với mức giảm hàng tháng hơn 100 EUR/tấn, xuống mức 1520-1570 EUR/tấn (1550-1601 USD/tấn theo tỷ giá gần đây) CIF Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ, miễn thuế. Khoảng giá tính bằng USD thấp hơn 50-70 USD/tấn so với báo giá Trung Đông chịu thuế.

Tương tự, giá PP homo fibre và injection của châu Âu đã hình thành phân khúc thấp của thị trường chung. So với tháng 6, giá đã giảm xuống mức 1280-1300 EUR/tấn (1303-1324 USD/tấn) CIF Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ, chưa tính thuế. Chúng thấp hơn ít nhất 80 USD/tấn so với báo giá từ các nhà cung cấp thông thường. Tương tự, giá PPBC injection 1350-1400 EUR/tấn (1377-1426 USD/tấn) được giao dịch thấp hơn khoảng 100 USD/tấn so với hàng hóa của Ả Rập Xê Út và tạo ra lợi thế cạnh tranh ở phân khúc thấp của thị trường.

Những người tham gia thị trường cho biết: “Sự gia tăng báo giá từ châu Âu chứng tỏ sự thờ ơ đang diễn ra tại các thị trường hạ nguồn của khu vực. Trong thực tế, hầu hết người tiêu dùng châu Âu đã chuyển sự chú ý sang dịch vụ thay vì hàng hóa.”

Tỷ giá euro/USD thấp nhất trong hai thập kỷ qua củng cố áp lực

Đồng USD đang tăng giá so với các đồng tiền khác vì Fed tăng lãi suất và giá dầu thô tương lai trượt dốc. Gần đây, tỷ giá EUR/USD đã giảm xuống khoảng 1,02, mức thấp nhất trong 20 năm qua. Điều này làm trầm trọng thêm sức cạnh tranh của các báo giá tính bằng đồng euro ở Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ.

Được viết bởi Merve Madakbaşı – [email protected]

Nguồn: https://www.chemorbis.com/vi/

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